Gartner’s IT Predictions

Tuesday, January 16, 2007

  • Through 2011, enterprises will waste $100 billion buying the wrong networking technologies and services.  Enterprises are missing out on opportunities to build a network that would put them at a competitive advantage.  Instead, they follow outdated design practices and collectively will waste at least $100 billion in the next five years.
  • Through 2009, market share for the top 10 IT outsourcers will decline to 40.0% (from 43.5% now), equaling a revenue shift of $5.4 billion.  As market share declines, some key outsourcing vendors will cease to exist in their current named form.
  • Blogging and community contributors will peak in the first half of 2007.  Given the trend in the average life span of a blogger and the current growth rate of blogs, there are already more than 200 million ex-bloggers.  Consequently, the peak number of bloggers will be around 100 million at some point in the first half of 2007.
  • By the end of 2007, 75% of enterprises will be infected with undetected, financially motivated, targeted malware that evaded their traditional perimeter and host defenses.
  • Vista will be the last major release of Microsoft Windows.
  • By 2010, 60% of the worldwide cellular population will be “trackable” via an emerging “follow-me Internet.”
  • By 2008, nearly 50% of data centers worldwide will lack the necessary power and cooling capacity to support high-density equipment.  With higher densities of processors proliferating, problems in this area continue to grow.  Although the power and cooling challenge of high-density computer equipment will persist in the short term, a convergence of innovative technologies will begin to mitigate the problem by 2010.

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